Wednesday, October 17, 2018

Soft vs Hard Leadership in the AI Age

Our new AI age means intense disruption and whirlwind change.  We should consider what constitutes effective leadership in this new chaotic environment.  Are qualities, such as deep area expertise, decisiveness, authority, and brutal task focus less important?  Are "soft" attributes  such as humility, adaptability, vision, and team engagement more important?  Let's take a closer look at the "soft" side of leadership.
Humility.  In an era of explosive change, knowing what you don’t know may be as valuable as knowing what you do know.  Leaders are face the challenge of  learning from the firehouse of  new developments and and the variety of new information that is flooding in daily.  Leaders in the AI age need to be willing to learn from both inside and outside their organizations. They also need to trust that there are others to know more than they do. Real knowledge may well come from someone 20 years younger or three levels down the business hierarchy.  In the AI age, an effective leader understands that less status or less experience doesn’t mean ignorance of what may be really important. 
Being humble may sound inconsistent with the need to exude an image of confidence and authority. But as the British philosopher Bertrand Russell famously stated, “The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt.”
Adaptability.  Adaptability means being able not just ready to react to opportunities and threats as they appear but to anticipate business disruptions and act decisively before  being overtaken by events. This means being open to change an opinion even when it hurts and being able to communicate honestly the revised opinion to peers, teams, and even customers.  Changing one’s mind is often be regarded as a sign of weakness.  In fact, it is a strength and can improves decision making.  Adaptable leaders adaptability can to confront challenges with a focus on learning rather than being right.
Vision.  Having a clear vision is essential for  effective leadership. But today there is less clarity and consensus among followers, subordinates, and employees about what needs to be done  and why.  Leaders with a clear vision have compelling, meaningful answers to these questions and can are communicate them the grounds for taking action, or no action pending an immediate and team-based assessment .  Vision is what allows a leader to take action without  implement caving to short-term interests or expediency.
Engagement.   The effective leader is remain constantly engaged with the environment.  It is rarely easy to separate the "signals" from surrounding  "noise — which will either threaten (disruptors) or support (potential partners) their vision. Agile leaders both need to stay engaged and find need to find ways to keep their teams engaged, particularly when the going gets rough!

Tuesday, October 16, 2018

Leadership is Action

Netflix founder Marc Randolph: You learn leadership by doing it

Tell me about starting Netflix.

The first thing you need to know is that most of the time when companies achieve a level of success they have a founding story. Netflix is no different. The story is somebody had a late fee on a movie, and that boils it down to a nice, tidy, two-sentence package.

The reality is companies' beginnings are considerably more complicated. The idea you have when you start ends up being completely different once the company achieves some success.

In Netflix's case, it really had a birth when I was fired from a previous job. A company that I helped start was acquired. I went to work in the new company then that company itself was acquired. The wonderful thing about that was I got laid off with a severance package. At that point I thought: It's time to start another company.

That big company that I was working for, when I was let go, had been founded and was being run by Reed. Reed and I came to an agreement that we would come up with an idea together. All we had to do was come up with the idea, we had a hundred ... some  good, and some bad. One of them was doing video rental by mail. Video rental was a big, $8 billion business. We said: There's an opportunity here.

But, in the summer of 1997, video rental was taking place with videocassettes - big, heavy, and not going to work in a mail-order business.A few months later, there was this new thing called a DVD. We both went and bought a used music CD, went a few doors down, bought gift envelopes, and put the disc in the envelopes, and we mailed it to Reed's house with a first-class stamp. When it arrived there unbroken, that was kind of the point where we said: Aha! This might work.

Reed wrote a check, I got a small office, hired about a dozen people, and we built an e-commerce website. I think our first shipment was April 1998, and away we went.  

What lesson would you want us to draw from your story? 

 Don't obsess over the idea. The idea is temporary. Ideas are ephemeral. Frankly, ideas mean almost nothing. A successful company - I can't think of any exceptions - evolves into something different.

You can't fall in love with your ideas. What you do have to do, though, is start. If you don't take that first step, you're not going to begin informing yourself about the market conditions, about your customer, about the nature of the problem you're trying to solve.

That ultimately will lead you to the idea that does work.

I am a big believer that anyone can do what I did.

Starting a business, or taking an existing business and turning it around, or taking a Fortune 500 company and defending it against all the small companies coming after it is not magic. People don't need to live in Silicon Valley. They don't need to have computer science degrees.

Too many people are scared to take the first step and try it.

Since leaving Netflix, I've had the chance to sit around the table with young entrepreneurs, being fundamentally and deeply involved with helping them get their companies going. I get to sit with smart people and solve really hard problems, but then I get to go home at night, and they have to stay up all night making it happen.

Were you in leadership roles growing up?   

Absolutely, and in two totally different ways.

The first thing, I was always drawn to starting things but to do so at a small enough scale that I couldn't screw up that badly.

I could try small-scale things, see the consequences, adjust them, and go on without lives being at stake, without losing money.

Probably the instrumental thing in developing my leadership skill came from time I spent in the mountains. My personal passion is outdoor stuff - climbing, mountaineering, backcountry skiing, kayaking, etc.  Just being out in the wild.

When I was 14 years old, I was fortunate to be sent to an organization called the National Outdoor Leadership School. Their motto is to teach leadership using the wilderness as a classroom.

They go out on these 30-day trips all over the world. The ones I went on were in the American West. Each day, you would form small groups and designate the leader of the day. That person was responsible for making all the decisions for that group. What time you started in the morning, when you took your breaks, what your route was, whether you made the decision to go the shorter route over the pass or the longer trail following a river.

You had a chance to make decisions - decisions with real consequences - and communicate them clearly and forcefully to your group. And then, this is the key part, in a matter of hours learn the consequences of that decision. You do that day after day after da

You're subconsciously learning what works in leadership. How do you communicate clearly where you are going? How do you make decisions that take into account the strengths of your group? How do you take into account changing conditions?

I did this when I was 14 years old. And I came back again when I was 15 and 16. When I was 17, I took the course to become an instructor. I was an instructor from when I was 18 to when I was 23, each time, taking increasing responsibility. At the end, I wasn't just leading a group of four or five for a day, I was in charge of an entire expedition for 30 days.

By the time it came time to start a company, I'd been leading people for years in real circumstances with real consequences with people coaching me and I was working with gradually increasing responsibility.

I'm sorry to ramble on about that, but I feel that that was the single biggest contributor to my success as a businessperson.

The liberal arts preparation was the more powerful thing, learning how to write, learning how to speak, learning how to form an opinion and how to defend it, and how to recognize b.s. or how to spin it yourself when required. 

What advice would you give to be an effective leader? 

That's a different question than what would I do to develop my leadership skill.

And so I'm going to take the prerogative and first answer the question that I think should be asked.

You learn leadership by doing it.

It is not a skill that you learn from a book. It's not a skill you learn in the classroom. Take all the leadership classes you want and read as many columns in the newspaper about leadership as you want. What makes you a leader is practicing. You have to find the circumstances that allow you to do it.

For someone young, those opportunities are endless. Someone who runs a lemonade stand is getting practical hands-on experience in what it takes to run a small business and what it takes to convince someone to help and what it takes to do all of those things.

In college, start something or volunteer to run something. Run a blood drive. Run a program for a nonprofit.

If you have an idea for a company, start it and scale the size of the company down to one that you can actually afford to do in time or money or expertise. Most people put these huge impediments in their way by setting their sights way beyond their capabilities in the beginning and then just making themselves feel better by saying: If only I had money. If only I had the time. If I'd only had the MBA. If only I'd and it's a long, long, long list of excuses.

The best way to figure any of these things out, whether it's leadership or entrepreneurship, is to figure out ways to do them. Then the opportunities come.

I'll tell you some of the things that I think are critical to being a leader.

One, of course, is you have to be an extremely good listener. You have to be extremely empathetic.

The reality is there are lots of different leadership styles. Some people can lead from the front and be totally militaristic about it, and that'll work in certain circumstances. In terms of a life-or-death panic, things have to be decided that are effective.

In the other extreme, if you're working for a non-profit, no one's being paid, they're all there volunteering their time, you had better become extremely empathetic, about what you can expect to ask people, what their motivations are, how to tie their strengths and their weaknesses and their interests into what you have them doing, how you develop a sense of wholeness, of why they're doing it.

The reality is all that comes from empathy, from listening, from catering your particular leadership style at that moment to what the circumstances and your team and the environment and the problem demand.

I'm not a believer in saying: Here are the two things you can do that'll make you a good leader.

I've done too much of it to recognize there's not one-size fits all, one scenario. 

You're right, but I'll keep doing my column

Right. (Laughs) You should keep doing it.

I get up and I'll talk, like the event that I'm doing in Syracuse, to several hundred people - I've been in front of a thousand people or ten thousand people. You have 40 minutes to an hour. You're not going to turn someone's life around by giving them the full instruction set in 40 minutes to an hour.

What we both can do is inspire someone to move that next step forward. Take the person who didn't believe it was possible and give an inkling that maybe it is.
  
How can a leader provide that nudge and inspire someone to move out of their comfort zone?  

It requires a deep understanding of what someone's capabilities are. And making sure you match up the thing you're nudging them into with what you believe they're capable of.

Fortunately, most people are very poor at estimating what their true abilities are.
Most people fear failure so much that they don't want to take a chance that something they do may not work.

A big part of convincing someone to take that step is making them comfortable, making them believe they can do this in a way that if they fail at it, that's part of the learning right there. That it's not going to be a consequential thing.

Again, that's scaling the step to the circumstance. You don't take someone who's never run a business before and say you should mortgage your house to try this. That's setting them up for a terrible experience. 

This ties back to your experience in Hamilton where you joined clubs and emphasized the extracurricular to get experience. 

Absolutely. That's my point.

For example, I joined the Outing Club right away as a freshman, and I began leading trips. Now, leading trips is not just getting out in front of the people, but it's figuring out where to go, and it's figuring out what trips might attract people, and it's figuring out how to promote the fact that the trips are occurring, and then it's finding other people to help you.

You could do that as a college freshman.

Eventually, I ended up running the Outing Club. Again, you're working with a lot of people, convincing other people to lead trips, helping them promote it. Each time I did something, some of them worked, some of them didn't work.

Once you put together a big enough string of them, you begin to get some pattern recognition. You recognize: Oh, in these circumstances, these things work and these things don't. But in this circumstance, it's different. 

What are attributes of a poor leader, of poor leadership? 

I think it's one-size fits all.  Poor leaders have a certain style and that's the only style they have.

Circumstances change. The person who leads by encouraging people and uses collaborative decision-making, that's fantastic. But you have to recognize that its positives also have negatives. It's slower. Collaborative decision-making is very poor in crises. That person who can only be collaborative, might be a very poor crisis manager. On the other hand, the person who's a phenomenal crisis manager, who can quickly see what's going on and bark out orders, ends up being a terrible leader in a lot of other circumstances.

So that's a long explanation to the quick answer which is: What makes a poor leader is someone who applies the same methodology to every single circumstance. 

Tell me about a tough challenge and how you met it.

I gave you the very quick founding story of Netflix. I kind of left it that it was doing DVD by mail.

What I didn't mention is that my original idea was basically doing a video store online. There were due dates and there were late fees, but we not only rented DVDs, we sold DVDs, too.

We got to a point, not too many months in, where on one hand we were doing great. We were doing about $100,000 a month. On the other hand, we were doing terrible, because almost every single penny of that $100,000 was coming from selling DVDs, not renting them. That was terrible because we recognized that it was just a matter of time before everyone else in the world would start selling DVDs and then the margins would go away and we'd be out of business. The rental thing was potentially big, but we couldn't get enough people to rent from us and if they did it once they wouldn't do it again.

The problem is: What do you do about that? Doing both at the same time was really hard because it was confusing - some of the movies you could rent, some you could buy, some you could do both.

So, here's the hard decision: You gotta pick which one to focus on. And you either can pick sales, which is paying everyone's salary, but which is going to go away. Or, you can pick rental, which is not working, but if you can get it to work you'll have a success.

That is a brutal decision. If you choose rental, you'd be walking away from your revenue and basically pissing off your customers. You'd take all these people whose jobs were on the sales side and say: Your job isn't important any more.

There was lots and lots and lots of momentum behind staying the course.

One of the harder things I've ever done in a business is make that decision that we're going to get out of selling DVDs. We're going to bet everything on rental. We're going to optimize everything on rental. We'll think of nothing but rental.

When you do that, when overnight you walk away from 99 percent of your revenue, it's a tremendously scary thing to do.

But it worked out. 

(Laughter) It sure did

Thursday, May 23, 2013

How Special Are You?





Professor Gary Hamel:

There are 6 levels of engagement and human capabilities in the work space :

Obedience : show up, do the job
Diligence : work hard, stay focus, long hours etc …
Intellect : taking responsibility for their own skills, bring best practices to the work place
Initiative : taking ownership for a problem, an opportunity before you ask them, not bound by a definition of their job
Human creativity : brought by people who would ask how to do this in a fundamental different way ? What is there to learn from other industries ? Where are the chances for radical innovation in this product/service ?
Passion and zeal : for whom their job is not only intellectually meaningful it is indeed spiritualy meaningful to them. Enormous meaning comes out of their work.

So, where are you?

Friday, April 19, 2013

Creative Capital





Steve Jobs knew about both kinds of capital: creativity and cash.

- Dallas

Thursday, March 7, 2013

Drucker on Growth



Peter Drucker had a lot to say about both leadership and growth.  Here is a sampling of his insight:

1. Growth is the result of success, not its cause.  An organization grows because it is doing a good job and thus its products and services generate increasing demand. Borrowing money or hiring people does not create demand, but helps fulfill it.

2. Strategy is ENVISIONING a desired future and simultaneously ACTING NOW to create this desired future. Drucker defined the leader's job as exploiting opportunity, not just replicating past success. This means creating strategy that can be revised when necessary. The leader must be intimately involved with the strategic direction and committed to it.

3. Integrity is essential for leadership. Followers need to understand what drives their leader.  Character and ethical behavior are of central importance for the leader.  One of Drucker's insights is that followers might forgive a leaders for mistakes, but would not forgive a lack of integrity. He understood that the military developed leaders by emphasizing character, role models and "taking care of your people", which is a pretty good example for business organizations as well. 

4. Employees need to be treated like high status volunteers not instantly replaceable "worker bees". Peter came to admire nonprofit organizations in part because of their stress on the need to manage people based on motivations beyond money.  Volunteers are people free to leave at any time.  The effective leader pays great attention to the non-monetary needs and motives of employees which unleashes both motivation and creativity.

6. Great Leaders are both marketers and innovators.  Drucker redefined the idea of "customer" to be the critical link in the economic chain. Not only should business leaders focus on the customer, and how customers view the organization and its products, but that ALL organizations have customers in the sense of active consumers of services. The leader both embodies the organization and is its best representative.


Tuesday, May 1, 2012

Big Name, Big Boo-Boo

HP gets it backward:
in recent years it put PROFITS first, leaving the design of great PRODUCTS to languish in the land of under-development.

As Apple has demonstrated, if you can build a great PRODUCT, then PROFIT will follow.

Now there is Meg Whitman, who rode the eBay internet elevator to billionaire-dom and then lost a "buy a job" campaign for governor in California, as working hard as  chief executive of Hewlett-Packard.

Whitman was the imploding tech giant's third leader in barely over a year. She replaced Leo Apotheker, a German software executive, who himself had replaced Mark Hurd, who was fired in August 2010 after he "filed a false expense account" but who really was working on a female executive rather than HP products as his top priority.

Meg is a high profile "communicator" with virtually no core experience in any of HP's many lines of sophisticated products, hardware or software.

Too bad ... an example of "the quick and the DEAD"... desperate experimentation and decline ... in high tech. Contrast this to Apple's leadership with Steve Jobs and his laser focus, obsession even, on building incredible products.






What HP could have been...

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Update March 21, 2012

So how is Meg doing?

Shuffling the deck chairs while throwing crew overboard, I would say, but judge for yourself:


"Meg Whitman, the chief executive of Hewlett-Packard, wants to make it clear to shareholders: Hewlett-Packard is about the money. More than anything, Wednesday’s big reorganization is about that.
'The intent behind all these changes is to remove complexity, make it easier to buy, easier to sell, easier to get things done,' Ms. Whitman, the company’s chief executive, said in an interview. “We have to deliver more to the bottom line.'
NYT



Sunday, December 25, 2011

Innovative Leader


Case Study in Leadership: A Transformation at Weight Watchers

If David Kirchhoff sounds like the perfect spokesperson for Weight Watchers, it’s no accident. He’s not just one of the dieting giant’s million-odd members around the globe, he’s the guy in charge: In 2006, he became the company’s president and CEO. And lately he’s been guiding the sprawling enterprise through a sort of renaissance.

In the past year, Kirchhoff has crafted a corporate After picture as impressive as his own. In the midst of protracted economic malaise, he’s boosted online membership by 64 percent and increased attendance at North American meetings by 14 percent. He’s breathed new life into the brand, posted impressive revenue and profit growth, and doubled the company’s market cap to, as of mid November, roughly $5 billion.

The story of how he’s managed to do all this starts with Kirchhoff ripping out the foundation of Weight Watchers in the name of science. Actually, it starts with a hunch that the science underlying the company’s venerable weight-loss formula—the very formula that helped Kirchhoff lose all that weight and made his own After picture possible—was flawed.  Read Wired article.





Friday, December 23, 2011

An Innovative Leader Weighs In

For years, Weight Watchers has been helping people track how much they eat by assigning point values to various foods. In 2010, the company radically altered how it determines these values with a new system called PointsPlus. The result: Some foods suddenly got a lot more expensive. Here’s a look at how things changed.